September 24, 2025

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India turns major wheat supplier in South, West Asia as global prices soar

India has turned a important wheat provider for nations around the world in South Asia and the Indian Ocean Area, mainly West Asia, as price ranges in the world market place have surged in close proximity to 8-12 months higher, in accordance to officials and sector professionals .

Growing freight costs have also resulted in these nations around the world turning to India to fulfill their wheat demand from customers.

In accordance to Agricultural and Processed Foods Products and solutions Export Progress Authority (APEDA), India exported 19.86 lakh tonnes (lt) of wheat in the course of April-August fiscal as opposed with two.63 lt in the course of the 12 months-back period.

USDA projection

The United States Office of Agriculture, in its “Grain: Environment Marketplace and Trade” report, projected India’s wheat exports at forty five lakh tonnes (lt), the maximum due to the fact it shipped 55.72 lt in 2013-14. The foodgrain’s shipments is estimated to have topped very last year’s overall shipments of twenty.86 lt by now.

“Basically, Indian wheat is in demand from customers as Russia and Australia are quoting larger price ranges for their generate. Raising freight premiums have also contributed to the demand from customers for Indian wheat,” mentioned Rajnikant Rai, Divisional Main Executive, ITC Agri-Organization.

India wheat has not just acquired in volume but in cost also. “In April, we commenced exporting wheat at $265 a tonne. Presently, we are exporting at $315-eighteen a tonne,” Rai mentioned.

When compared with this, Argentina is quoting at $296, France at $327, US delicate pink winter season wheat at $322, Australia feed wheat at $433 and Black Sea wheat (Russia, Ukraine) at $312.seventy five a tonne.

The larger price ranges in the world market place are mirrored in domestic price ranges also, which are ruling around this year’s minimal help cost (MSP) amount of ₹1,975.

Millers aggrieved

“Exports and existing price ranges have produced points difficult for the domestic milling sector. We are obtaining to spend ₹25 a kg for wheat from ₹20-21 a pair of months back,” mentioned Pramod Kumar, Vice-President, Roller Flour Mills Federation of India.

Even though officials included in exports say that millers can avail of wheat from the Foods Corporation of India (FCI), which is advertising the shares it is keeping at price ranges relying on which 12 months the crop was harvested, Kumar mentioned tender norms had produced it difficult for any miller to bid.

On the other hand, exporters say they are procuring wheat from the open market place for shipments overseas. “We are not intended to export wheat shares acquired from FCI,” mentioned Rai.

Centre’s technique

A Delhi-based mostly multinational firm’s export-import formal mentioned the Centre’s technique could be to keep growers joyful in States this kind of as Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and Uttarakhand, the place Assembly elections are owing in 6 months time.

A trade analyst mentioned the Authorities could be encouraging exports of wheat on two counts. 1, it will support lessen the large inventories that are currently being carried each individual 12 months. Two, it could also be to lessen FCI’s credit card debt load, which is almost ₹five lakh crore.

“Also, with trader associates placing strain on India at the Environment Trade Organisation to stop MSP, the Centre could be attempting to ship far more when the condition is favourable,” he mentioned.

FCI shares

As on Oct 1, the FCI had forty six.85 million tonnes of wheat shares as opposed with 43.73 million tonnes in the course of the 12 months-back period. The Corporation is mandated to have 17.5 million tonnes of operational stock and two million tonnes of strategic reserve in the course of the period.

Mukesh Singh, Director, MuBala Agro Commodities Pvt Ltd, mentioned Bangladesh is putting orders on a every day basis for Indian wheat. “For Bangladesh, it is less costly to obtain Indian wheat in particular due to the fact freight fees are low,” he mentioned.

As for every APEDA knowledge, Bangladesh imported 13.13 lt of wheat in the course of April-August as opposed with 11.fifty seven lt for the overall 2020-21 fiscal. The USDA has pegged Bangladesh’s wheat imports at seventy four lakh tonnes this 12 months.

Shipments by road

Most of the wheat consignments go by road to the neighbouring place and trucks carrying wheat account for practically a third of the overall vehicles crossing the Ghojadanga border. For case in point, on Oct 19, ninety two trucks carried wheat to the neighbouring place out of the 312 that passed as a result of the border.

“We are ready to get fair normal high-quality wheat at ₹19.50-21 a kg from Bihar, Bengal and Odisha. Wheat is readily available in Uttar Pradesh also, but freight is high-priced,” Singh, who business exports wheat and corn, mentioned.

ITC’s Rai mentioned Bangladesh and West Asian nations around the world have been the two important prospective buyers of Indian wheat this 12 months. “Plus, Indian wheat has started heading to Indonesia and the Philippines,” he mentioned.

1 important purpose for Indian wheat to make inroads in the world market place is that aside from currently being aggressive, its high-quality has also enhanced, Rai mentioned.

Prospects very good till March

The ITC formal expects the existing pace in wheat exports to continue on till the stop of the existing fiscal. “No other crops can hit the market place until eventually then. The importers are nations around the world that obtain on a regular basis and India has now emerged as an choice,” Rai mentioned.

The USDA has projected world wheat intake to raise sharply than output this 12 months. As a consequence, world wheat exports would be at document degrees resulting in shares dropping to a five-12 months low.

Worldwide output will be only marginally larger as output in the US, Canada, Kazakhstan and Iran have been affected. The drop in Canadian output will consequence in the North American country shipping and delivery fifteen million tonnes of wheat reduce this 12 months. India is observed gaining a chunk of the gap, with Australia and Europe currently being projected as the other gainers.

India has also been served by document wheat output around the past two many years. All through 2019-twenty, India generated 107.86 million tonnes and in 2020-21, the output greater to 109.52 million tonnes.

 

 

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